THUNDERING BLURB » week 4 http://thunderingblurb.com ANDREW GARDA'S ENDLESS TAKES ON NFL AND COLLEGE FOOTBALL Fri, 22 Oct 2010 12:30:31 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 en hourly 1 WR Rankings for Week 4 http://thunderingblurb.com/2008/09/wr-rankings-for-week-4/ http://thunderingblurb.com/2008/09/wr-rankings-for-week-4/#comments Fri, 26 Sep 2008 18:04:00 +0000 admin http://thunderingblurb.com/?p=202 I fully expect the Jets to play tough in the secondary – and I fully expect Warner to light them up anyway. Warner – and with him, Boldin and Fitzgerald – will have very gooddays Sunday, much to my chagrin as a Jets fan. There is more than enough love to go around from Warner and I expect Fitz to get both the yards and TDs needed to be the top Fantasy Wideout this week. Fitz has been playing very well and this week he will be at his best.

Brandon Marshall may only be limited by how easy it is to run against the Chiefs. And run they will, but Marshall will get his targets and do what he has been doing every week – dominating. Did you know that he is 4th in the league in targets with 31 to Bush and Calvin Johnson’s 32 and Dwayne Bowe’s 34? Stunning when you realize he is catching many of them and he did it with one less game than they did.

Steve Smith is back to being active now and is facing a middle of the road pass defense in the Falcons. Remember Detroit torched them eventially in week one and they are still learning as they go to be a cohesive unit. Carolina’s line faltered last week both by allowing sacks and pressure and getting flagged often. They should step back up this week and Smith should find the end zone for his first TD against them. Expect better yards than last week as well.

Jake Steven asked me this morning on his 1230 ESPN show what I thought about TO’s non-involvement last weekend and whether I think it will affect him and the Cowboys long term. I think he has matured and like Randy Moss last year, he can smell that Super Bowl. He will play the team player and not make whining noises as long as they play well and win. I think Romo will look back his way this week and TO will get the targets he needs and be very productive against a team that can give the big play up, and being at home only fuels the Dallas offense (and TO) more.

Two Cardinals in the top five? Madness or brilliance? We’ll find out on Sunday but as I have preached for weeks, there are more than enough passes to go around. Boldin has played incredibly well – ever the professional despite his contract woes. He was very quiet last week (3/25/1) but I think Warner will throw a ton in this one and we’ll see both WRs do very well.

Dwayne Bowe (12) is a guy to watch – the most targeted receiver in the NFL, he just needs to hang onto the ball. I think he does this week with Damon Huard in charge and I think people are overlooking him. How banged up is Big Ben Roethlisberger? Banged up enough to downgrade Hines Ward (23) and keep Santonio Holmes (18) struggling. Especially against a tough Ravens D. I have Houshmandzadeh ranked 8th right now and Ocho-Cinco 21st. I know, he CAN break out but he’s a #3WR until he does. On of these guys go off this weekend – my bet is Housh. 85 will play well enough to be a value for you, but he won’t be back to top dog status yet. Chansi Stuckey sneaks in at 33 – a TD each week? Constant targets by Favre? I like him this week in a shootout…..

Wide receivers

  1. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals at Jets
  2. Brandon Marshall, Broncos at Chiefs
  3. Steve Smith, Panthers vs. Falcons
  4. Terrell Owens, Cowboys vs. Redskins
  5. Anquan Boldin, Cardinals at Jets
  6. Lee Evans, Bills at Rams
  7. Greg Jennings, Packers at Buccaneers
  8. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals vs. Browns
  9. Chris Chambers, Chargers at Raiders
  10. Braylon Edwards, Browns at Bengals
  11. Andre Johnson, Texans at Jaguars
  12. Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs vs. Broncos
  13. Santana Moss, Redskins at Cowboys
  14. Jerricho Cotchery, Jets vs. Cardinals
  15. Donald Driver, Packers at Buccaneers
  16. Vincent Jackson, Chargers at Raiders
  17. Roddy White, Falcons at Panthers
  18. Santonio Holmes, Steelers vs. Ravens
  19. Torry Holt, Rams vs. Bills
  20. Laveranues Coles, Jets vs. Cardinals
  21. Chad Johnson, Bengals vs. Browns
  22. Isaac Bruce, 49ers at Saints
  23. Hines Ward, Steelers vs. Ravens
  24. DeSean Jackson, Eagles at Bears
  25. Eddie Royal, Broncos at Chiefs
  26. Bryant Johnson, 49ers at Saints
  27. Antonio Bryant, Buccaneers vs. Packers
  28. Bernard Berrian, Vikings at Titans
  29. Arnaz Battle, 49ers at Saints
  30. Patrick Crayton, Cowboys vs. Redskins
  31. Matt Jones, Jaguars vs. Texans
  32. Muhsin Muhammad, Panthers vs. Falcons
  33. Chansi Stuckey, Jets vs. Cardinals
  34. Robert Meachem, Saints vs. 49ers
  35. Antwaan Randle El, Redskins at Cowboys
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Don’t Bench Peterson – RB Rankings for Week 4 http://thunderingblurb.com/2008/09/dont-bench-peterson-rb-rankings-for-week-4/ http://thunderingblurb.com/2008/09/dont-bench-peterson-rb-rankings-for-week-4/#comments Fri, 26 Sep 2008 16:23:00 +0000 admin http://thunderingblurb.com/?p=201 I mentioned on the Daily News Stampede that we would talk about Adrian ‘Purple Jesus’ Peterson and then forgot with all the other news. I know the matchup is tough but -
DON’T. BENCH. PETERSON. Houston ran well against them last week (Slaton topped 100yds), Peterson is healthy and he can bust a huge run at any time. Don’t bench him UNLESS you have any of the six guys ahead of him – and even then run him as your #2. And just how the heck did you get one of those other backs anyway? (well, Reggie Bush I can see….)

Onto the rankings –

In many leagues, Reggie Bush has topped their rankings so far this year. PPR or not, the yardage totals he has put up have been impressive. This week he is the offense and Brees will throw to him a ton. Bush’s value is not as a between the tackles RB – in part because the Saints have not blocked for the run very well. The 49r defense is better than you think – but Bush is a threat to bust a long run on a screen pass and I think he will put up very good numbers as the Saints put up a lot of yards to try and win with a shaky defense.

On the other side of the field is Frank Gore – Gore has flourished again and reminded people just how good he is. The Saints are bad against the pass which means JT O’Sullivan & company will throw more than run BUT Gore, like Bush, can bust a big play at any time and Gore has been used in the pass game enough to give him good value even when they are not running as much. The Saints run D is also shaky (22nd in the league) so Gore is a great bet to play well this weekend.

Tomlinson looks healthy and that’s a good thing for his owners. The Raiders are middling against the run but have given up five ground TDs so far. Tomlinson was shaky last week save for the TD looks but will be closer to 100% and will put up good numbers and at least a TD against the Raiders. The Chargers will grab them by the throat and not let go – so even if Rivers throws effectively – and he will – LT will get his.

‘Dis Mah Son’ as Cecil calls him, has a prime matchup against the Rams this weekend and Lynch will take advantage of it. St Louis is dead last in defense and gives up 180+ yards a game on the ground. The only thing keeping him from maybe being first or second on this list is the insistence of Dick Jauron in using Fred Jackson to the extent he does. I expect great things from Lynch this week – or if you are a Rams fan – great and terrible things as he runs your team into the ground.

Felix Jones has been great so far – everything the Cowboys have hoped for. Marion Barber has been even better. Barber has compiled very good totals his first three weeks and against a Redskins defense that is middle of the road vs the run and give over 100yds per game on the ground, Barber will continue his winning ways. Despite the fact that Washington has only given up a pair of touchdowns on the ground, I think Barber will find the end zone again this week. It will be a dogfight game – always is with NFC East teams – and Barber will step up to bat.

You will notice that #15 is a combined ranking for Westbrook and Buckhalter – as it’s a GTD I split the difference and ranked the position for the team. I think Buck will probably put up at the 15 rankings here – whereas Westy will probably do better if he gets the start. But with the doubt, I placed them a little farther back – also the run D in Chicago is tough, though in part because you can throw on them all day and that’s what McNabb will do. It may limit Buck a bit as Westbrook sees more passes than Buckhalter usually does. (Despite the nice catch and run last week)

Chris Johnson (16) is a tough play that I still say you might have to go with him due to upside and big play ability. Ryan Grant (14) is healthy and that’s great – should be very productive going forward as the oline is finally getting it’s game on. McFadden (26) has a toe owie still and that is worrying me since Kiffin says it is bothering him VERY much. I would rather be cautious if possible than see Mike Bush steal all my carries.

Running Backs

  1. Reggie Bush, Saints vs. 49ers
  2. Frank Gore, 49ers at Saints
  3. LaDainian Tomlinson, Chargers at Raiders
  4. Marshawn Lynch, Bills at Rams
  5. Marion Barber, Cowboys vs. Redskins
  6. Clinton Portis, Redskins at Cowboys
  7. Adrian Peterson, Vikings at Titans
  8. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars vs. Texans
  9. Steven Jackson, Rams vs. Bills
  10. Matt Forte, Bears vs. Eagles
  11. Michael Turner, Falcons at Panthers
  12. Jamal Lewis, Browns at Bengals
  13. Larry Johnson, Chiefs vs. Broncos
  14. Ryan Grant, Packers at Buccaneers
  15. Brian Westbrook/Correll Buckhalter, Eagles at Bears
  16. Chris Johnson, Titans vs. Vikings
  17. Chris Perry, Bengals vs. Browns
  18. Felix Jones, Cowboys vs. Redskins
  19. Earnest Graham, Buccaneers vs. Packers
  20. Fred Taylor, Jaguars vs. Texans
  21. Thomas Jones, Jets vs. Cardinals
  22. Steve Slaton, Texans at Jaguars
  23. Edgerrin James, Cardinals at Jets
  24. Jonathan Stewart, Panthers vs. Falcons
  25. Selvin Young, Broncos at Chiefs
  26. Darren McFadden, Raiders vs. Chargers
  27. Pierre Thomas, Saints vs. 49ers
  28. Michael Pittman, Broncos at Chiefs
  29. Rashard Mendenhall, Steelers vs. Ravens
  30. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers vs. Falcons
  31. LenDale White, Titans vs. Vikings
  32. Fred Jackson, Bills at Rams
  33. Willis McGahee, Ravens at Steelers
  34. Tim Hightower, Cardinals at Jets
  35. Le’Ron McClain, Ravens at Steelers
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QB Rankings for Week 4 http://thunderingblurb.com/2008/09/qb-rankings-for-week-4/ http://thunderingblurb.com/2008/09/qb-rankings-for-week-4/#comments Fri, 26 Sep 2008 13:28:00 +0000 admin http://thunderingblurb.com/?p=200 Rodgers is on fire and Tampa Bay’s defense is giving up 230+ yards through the air and five touchdowns. They are pressuring the quarterback however, so Rodgers may get hit, But the Oline is playing relatively well and I think Green Bay’s depleted and banged up secondary will allow Tampa Bay to move the ball, and force Rodgers to do the same to stay ahead.

Romo is playing excellent ball, though he has one brain freeze a week. Still that won’t kill him – nor you – this week as he will continue to be be on fire this week. The ‘Skins are coughing up just under 200 yards a game through the air – expect Tony Romo to surpass that as the Cowboys don’t match averages – they surpass them. Washington has been good at pressuring the QB, but Dallas’ Oline is outstanding, so Romo will have plenty of time to toss the rock this week

I have been ranking Cutler high all year – mostly the #1 spot – and this week is no different. The Chiefs’ pass rush is almost nonexistant and so is there rush defense. In fact, here’s a case where the pass defense looks better statistically than it is. People don’t throw a lot because they can run all day – thus the Chiefs have decent pass defense numbers. Cutler will throw and hit Marshall and Sheffler (and Royal) for some yards. He’ll tear the D up through the air and I just don’t have him ranked higher as he won’t have to. Theonly limit on his yards is the fact that Shanny will run the ball as often as he can and grind the clock out.

Phillip Rivers is heading to Oakland to visit a Raiders team that is just a huge mess, organizationally speaking. And don’t think that doesn’t affect performance on the field. They played better the last two weeks than they did against Denver in week 1, but still give up 200+ yards per game and have allowed four TDs so far. Like Cutler and Rodgers, Rivers has gone off the last few weeks and the Chargers need to beat the Raiders to stay afloat in the division. They will come out hard and while the corners in Oakland can play tough, they can be beat – especially DeAngelo Hall, who has had more than one lapse this season. Rivers could be limited by a big game from LaDainian Tomlinson, but wil lstill put up very good points.

Drew Brees is losing weapons by the bucketload – first Colston, now Shockey and perhaps David Patten. And yet, the ball gets moved through the air. If they could run block, he’d have a ceiling, but since they struggle there, Brees will air it out. The Saints are tough against the pass – only an average of 160 yards a game through the air. But Bush always breaks a long one on a screen and I think they will have problems containing him. Finally, the Saints secondary can be thrown on – at some point Brees may find himself playing catchup and this may degenerate into a shootout.

On the short end of the scale – Derek Anderson (19) may have a better than average game but one mistake and he could be yanked. Matt Schaub (18) is facing a resurgent Jags defense and is himself under scrutiny and could get the hook. Damon Huard (14) may only be a game manager but he can move the ball well and will make Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzalez owners happy. Avoid Trent Green (23) this week – the oline is the problem there and I worry Green may not make it out of the game. Injury woes and a bad team equals a nonstart in my world.

Quarterbacks

  1. Aaron Rodgers, Packers at Buccaneers
  2. Tony Romo, Cowboys vs. Redskins
  3. Jay Cutler, Broncos at Chiefs
  4. Philip Rivers, Chargers at Raiders
  5. Drew Brees, Saints vs. 49ers
  6. Kurt Warner, Cardinals at Jets
  7. Donovan McNabb, Eagles at Bears
  8. J.T. O’Sullivan, 49ers at Saints
  9. Carson Palmer, Bengals vs. Browns
  10. Trent Edwards, Bills at Rams
  11. Jason Campbell, Redskins at Cowboys
  12. Jake Delhomme, Panthers vs. Falcons
  13. David Garrard, Jaguars vs. Texans
  14. Damon Huard, Chiefs vs. Broncos
  15. Brett Favre, Jets vs. Cardinals
  16. Brian Griese, Buccaneers vs. Packers
  17. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers vs. Ravens
  18. Matt Schaub, Texans at Jaguars
  19. Derek Anderson, Browns at Bengals
  20. Kerry Collins, Titans vs. Vikings
  21. Matt Ryan, Falcons at Panthers
  22. Gus Frerotte, Vikings at Titans
  23. Trent Green, Rams vs. Bills
  24. Kyle Orton, Bears vs. Eagles
  25. JaMarcus Russell, Raiders vs. Chargers
  26. Joe Flacco, Ravens at Steelers
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