Archive for October, 2008

Several Guest Appearence today!

First, I have a bunch of emails to get to tonight/tomorrow – it’s been a crazy day but I will get to them as soon as I can after trick or treating with the kids.

Next -
Part of the delay in the emails was that I hit the pavement hard today – along with the usual appearance on ESPN 1230, I dropped by a new show on the BlogTalkRadio Fantasy Sports Channel called The Fantasy BrushUp with Greg Brosh and did my Pac-10 Insider thing on the College Football Insider Tailgate as well.

Find links to the genius below!

ESPN 1230 for October 31, 2008

College Football Insiders Tailgate Show


The Fantasy Brush Up

Am near the end of the CFI Tailgate Show and in the middle of the Brush Up. But I say listen to the whole things, as they are always sources of good info.

RB Rankings for Week 9

Brian Westbrook had 167 yards last week on the ground and added 42 via receptions. As tempting as Graham is, as good as Peterson is, I think Westy has a good day against a rush D that gives 121 yards per game on the ground and 6 TDs. Add to it the phenomenal matchup vs the pass D of the ‘Hawks – know that Westbrook will be involved as always. He will have a tremendous opportunity in both phases of the game and I think he will top leagues again this week.

Speaking of Purple Jesus aka Adrian Peterson – the Texans have coughed up 11 ground TDs, second most in the league so far this season. They were better earlier in the season but the last three games have given up a total of 278 rushing yards top run games brought by the Bengals, Lions and Dolphins. Wait, those aren’t Minny-like run offenses? Uh-oh! The Texans are getting lit up on the ground, and Peterson will be able to make plenty of plays against them this week. I think Frerrotte and Berrian will keep Houston honest and AP will tire them out all day.

How DOES one cram all that Graham? Well, you rank him third. Ok, bad joke (dated bad joke no less) but Earnest Graham is an excellent start this week. With Dunn banged up, Graham will get all the love in this run game this weekend against one of the worst defense in the league. On top of that, Gruden will not pull a Mangini and throw 40 times to 15 runs. Graham will get the ball often and do very well against the woeful Chiefs.

A terrible Lions defense will keep Matt Forte at the top of the rookie running back ranks this week – not only running the ball but catching it as well. Forte faces a defense ranked 31st, which can get run over by any back. Forte should have no problem running all over the Lions. Yes, they stumped Peterson – but that was pretty unusual. I don’t expect a repeat, especially as Chicago is passing the ball well and Detroit will not be able to just focus on the run.

Finally is Michael Turner the Burner - perhaps not as high as some have him this week, I still like him as a play. Oakland has coughed up 556 rushing yards in their last 3 contests and have had plenty of bad games so far. Also, may I submit the 11 touchdowns they have allowed this season. I like Turner this week for both yardage and a TD – he’s a guy you can start with confidence even if he has been a bit streaky this year.

Other thoughts -Willie Parker (34) may be playing, but I think he’s no more than a light flex – Mewelde Moore (30) is pretty much the same. Until we sort out who is doing what, be careful…. Don’t overthink the Leon Washington (28) stats from last week – only three carries is a flex back for a Fantasy team, not a RB2 unless you have to…. This may be the week Tim Hightower (17) takes the #1 gig over…. MJD (10) and Fred Taylor (23) both have valeu this week against a shoddy Bengals run D….

Running backs

  1. Brian Westbrook, Eagles at Seahawks
  2. Adrian Peterson, Vikings vs. Texans
  3. Earnest Graham, Buccaneers at Chiefs
  4. Matt Forté, Bears vs. Lions
  5. Michael Turner, Falcons at Raiders
  6. Ronnie Brown, Dolphins at Broncos
  7. Marion Barber, Cowboys at Giants
  8. Chris Johnson, Titans vs. Packers
  9. Clinton Portis, Redskins vs. Steelers
  10. Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars at Bengals
  11. Marshawn Lynch, Bills vs. Jets
  12. Brandon Jacobs, Giants vs. Cowboys
  13. Steven Jackson, Rams vs. Cardinals
  14. Thomas Jones, Jets at Bills
  15. Willis McGahee, Ravens at Browns
  16. LenDale White, Titans vs. Packers
  17. Tim Hightower, Cardinals at Rams
  18. Ryan Grant, Packers at Titans
  19. Kevin Faulk, Patriots at Colts
  20. Steve Slaton, Texans at Vikings
  21. Edgerrin James, Cardinals at Rams
  22. Michael Pittman, Broncos vs. Dolphins
  23. Fred Taylor, Jaguars at Bengals
  24. Ricky Williams, Dolphins at Broncos
  25. Justin Fargas, Raiders vs. Falcons
  26. Jamal Lewis, Browns vs. Ravens
  27. Derrick Ward, Giants vs. Cowboys
  28. Leon Washington, Jets at Bills
  29. Dominic Rhodes, Colts vs. Patriots
  30. Mewelde Moore, Steelers at Redskins
  31. Kevin Smith, Lions at Bears
  32. Julius Jones, Seahawks vs. Eagles
  33. Cedric Benson, Bengals vs. Jaguars
  34. Willie Parker, Steelers vs Redskins
  35. Kolby Smith, Chiefs vs. Buccaneers

WR Rankings for Week 9

As I said on There It Is on ESPN 1230 I think Cutler has a tremendous day and Brandon Marshall will be the guy he goes to most often and most effectively. Marshall has had three weeks without a TD and hasn’t broken 100 yards receieving in that span as well. That ends here – again, the Phins have given up 9 passing TDs so far this year and Marshall should be able to overmatch the corners pretty easily.

Larry Fitzgerald had the yards, Boldin got the TDs – I think Fitz will be seeing the end zone this week along with the yards. As I said in the QB rankings, this has shootout written all over it – a veritable fantasy buffet as it were. It could be a high scoring game and the Rams have the weapons and momentum to make Arizona work for it.

Matt Ryan truly showed just how much he belongs in the NFL last week with his performance in Philly. And as I said last week, Ryan has revealed just how good Roddy White is. He is the top target of a pretty darn good rookie quarterback against the 19th pass defense in the NFL which averages 218.4 ypg allowed, with 9 passing TDs allowed. Ryan may be under pressure as the Raydahs can bring the heat (16 sacks so far) but White has been his best, most consistent target and as many yards and TDs as Oakland can give, I think White will continue to excel and emerge as a top fantasy WR.

Andre Johnson is still looking for the endzone but will accrue yards at a torrid pace anyway. The Vikes’ D gave up 386 passing yards in 2 games before the bye – they will try to turn it around but Matt Schaub is red hot right now and as hard as it is to run against the Vikings, they will need to throw the ball to even ease the pressure on Slaton and the run game. Johnson continues to play at a very high level and one only hopes that we see soem TDs soon.

The Jets have some good players in the secondary. But as good as Darrelle Revis is, you still have rookie Dwight Lowery, Justin Miller and Safeties Kerry Rhodes and Eric Smith can be erratic. On the News Stampede this morning I said Lee Evans was a decent start. Then I looked over how the Jets played last week. And again, allowing 250 net yards and 2 TDs with no interceptions to Tyler Thigpen. Really, Jets? Thigpen? I think Edwards and Lee Evans can blow past this secondary – all it will take is moving Evans around enough to avoid Revis and free him up for a few good plays. The Bills can do it and this is a huge game – they have to.

Anquan Boldin is my second guy from the Cards in the top 5 – reiterating what said with Fitz above and Warner in the QB ranks, I think this has the makings of a shootout. Boldin is a tough, hard nosed receiver who Warner targets in the redzone often. He may not ghet the yards Fitz will, but he will have a TD and enough targets to make him a very good start most weeks. Against this secodnary and in a game I think could be a very high scoring affair, Boldin has an excellent opportunity to have a huge day alongside Fitz’s big time game as well.

Other thoughts – Bernard Berrian (7) will have some work to do against a shaky Texans secondary and will need to help loosen the run D up for Peterson….. Reggie Wayne’s(9) injury has me concerned but he should play and do well…. Matt Jones(14) (KKKKKEE-YEAAAH) has a great matchup and as long as the NFL hasn’t kicked him out, you shouldn’t either…. Jerricho Cotchery (16) and Laveranues Coles(18) are ranked close together and if you look at their seasons, it mirrors that well – Favre will throw and they will have the opportunity to do well this week….. Notice Terrell Owens is barely top 20. Brad Johnson and maybe Witten being out hurts quite a bit….. Finally, if Tory Holt (30) is telling you he feels out of the offense and his stats show that as well… who am I to argue?

Wide receivers

  1. Brandon Marshall, Broncos vs. Dolphins
  2. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals at Rams
  3. Roddy White, Falcons at Raiders
  4. Andre Johnson, Texans at Vikings
  5. Anquan Boldin, Cardinals at Rams
  6. Lee Evans, Bills vs. Jets
  7. Bernard Berrian, Vikings vs. Texans
  8. Plaxico Burress, Giants vs. Cowboys
  9. Randy Moss, Patriots at Colts
  10. Reggie Wayne, Colts vs. Patriots
  11. Greg Jennings, Packers at Titans
  12. Calvin Johnson, Lions at Bears
  13. Hines Ward, Steelers at Redskins
  14. Matt Jones, Jaguars at Bengals
  15. Donnie Avery, Rams vs. Cardinals
  16. Jerricho Cotchery, Jets at Bills
  17. Santana Moss, Redskins vs. Steelers
  18. Laveranues Coles, Jets at Bills
  19. Braylon Edwards, Browns vs. Ravens
  20. Terrell Owens, Cowboys at Giants
  21. Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
  22. Kevin Walter, Texans at Vikings
  23. Derrick Mason, Ravens at Browns
  24. Kevin Curtis, Eagles at Seahawks
  25. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals vs. Jaguars
  26. Santonio Holmes, Steelers at Redskins
  27. Steve Breaston, Cardinals at Rams
  28. Wes Welker, Patriots at Colts
  29. Antonio Bryant, Buccaneers at Chiefs
  30. Torry Holt, Rams vs. Cardinals
  31. DeSean Jackson, Eagles at Seahawks
  32. Rashied Davis, Bears vs. Lions
  33. Antwaan Randle El, Redskins vs. Steelers
  34. Joey Galloway, Buccaneers at Chiefs
  35. Chad Ocho Cinco, Bengals vs. Jaguars

RBs in an hour or so…. KKKKKKKYEAH

QB Rankings for Week 9

Jay Cutler is facing a defense which ranks 25th allowing 233.3 net yards, yards per game and 9 TDs while only gathering 4 interceptions. They can get pressure (17 sacks) which is a concern given the Oline issues the Donkeys have. Over the past 3 weeks, Miami has allowed 808 yards passing. On top of that, Miami will probably score against a struggling defense and Cutler will have to throw to keep ahead. Cutler should be a good start this week and will come out big after his bye.

Kurt Warner is busy playing himself into a contract extention and you should continue to ride along with him. The matchup against a 26th ranked Rams pass defense is tasty – as is the fact that he may have to huck the ball repeteadly since Bulger & Co. will likely score against a suspect Cardinal secondary. Add to it the Cards run game is not playing exceptionally well, it falls to the passing offense to get the job done. Great matchup, great situation – should be a great day.

Against the Seahawks, you have to love Donavan McNabb. The Hawks have allowed over 769 passing yards in the last three games. Westbrook is on his game again, DeSean Jackson continues to excel and Kevin Curtis looked ok in his first game back. McNabb didn’t hit the end zoen last week as it was the Westy show, but I expect him to throw more in this matchup.

What’s that? You still doubt Kyle Orton? Well, even if you do, this week against the Lions would be the one matchup you really can’t argue against. Ranked 31st against the pass, with 258 ypg and 12 TDs given up. Forte will be heavily involved and probably catch some passes. You don’t know (aside from Forte) who will get passes thrown their way but they will get thrown, effectively and accurately and Orton will have quite a day against the Lambs, er, Lions.

Manning: The Peyton had an off game for Peyton against the Titans – but a good game for anyone else. The guy who struggled a bit last week will be just fine this week against a mediocre pass defense averaging 206.3 net yards allowed per game, with 11 passing TDs thrown in for good measure. Wayne is banged up which worries me a tad, but he should be fine. I believe Manning – who has been inconsistent, I’ll admit – is getting back to where he needs to be to be an effective fantasy Qb. While he will not crack the top 5, he’ll be much more consistent, reliable and probably finish close to it.

Other thoughts – I think Marc Bulger has a very good day. Am not completely confident enough to put him in the top 10 but frankly this week he is very close…. I also wouldn’t be shocked if Aaron Rodgers has a below par game but he’s good enough even in bad matchups to crack the 10….. I am still tempted to start Bulger over Rodgers in at least one league….. Usually a consistent but not blockbuster play, David Garrard could blow up completely against the hapless Bungles and yes they deserve that name again…. Jason Campbell is a good QB in a bad matchup – I’d love to see him transcend the ranking but don’t quite have faith about it…..

Quarterbacks

  1. Jay Cutler, Broncos vs. Dolphins
  2. Kurt Warner, Cardinals at Rams
  3. Donovan McNabb, Eagles at Seahawks
  4. Kyle Orton, Bears vs. Lions
  5. Peyton Manning, Colts vs. Patriots
  6. Matt Schaub, Texans at Vikings
  7. Eli Manning, Giants vs. Cowboys
  8. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers at Redskins
  9. Aaron Rodgers, Packers at Titans
  10. David Garrard, Jaguars at Bengals
  11. Marc Bulger, Rams vs. Cardinals
  12. Chad Pennington, Dolphins at Broncos
  13. Matt Ryan, Falcons at Raiders
  14. Jeff Garcia, Buccaneers at Chiefs
  15. Trent Edwards, Bills vs. Jets
  16. Brett Favre, Jets at Bills
  17. Jason Campbell, Redskins vs. Steelers
  18. Gus Frerotte, Vikings vs. Texans
  19. Derek Anderson, Browns vs. Ravens
  20. JaMarcus Russell, Raiders vs. Falcons
  21. Kerry Collins, Titans vs. Packers
  22. Matt Cassel, Patriots at Colts
  23. Dan Orlovsky, Lions vs. Bears
  24. Brad Johnson, Cowboys at Giants
  25. Joe Flacco, Ravens at Browns
  26. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bengals vs. Jaguars
  27. Tyler Thigpen, Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
  28. Seneca Wallace, Seahawks vs. Eagles

WRs in a little while….

Thundering Blurb & Fantasy Sports Channel on ITunes Radio!

Hey folks – just reiterating what was on the Stampede today – but BTR’s Fantasy Sports Channel (and of course The Thundering Blurb Fantasy Show) is now part of iTunes Radio. If you have the iTunes application, you can find their radio programming under “LIBRARY” in the top left corner. Click on that and look for “Sports Radio”. BTR Fantasy Sports feed is like second.

So yet another way to listen to us all yammer!

Top RB Performances for Week 8

Brian Westbrook -209 total yards, 6 catches, 2TDs - It’s not that I didn’t think Westy was a good start – but there were so many great matchups, I didn’t expect him to have the day he did. yet here he is, proving once again that you cannot bench him. Amazingly 167 was on the ground. People write him off as a guy who catches more than runs, but folks, those people are wrong. Another great matchup against Seattle this week.

LaDainian Tomlinson – 170 total yards, 5 catches, 1 rec TD - Guess who’s back? LT is healthy and I fully expected him to go off on the Saints. He did most of his damage (about 90 yards of it) in the first half – imagine if the Chargers hadn’t once again dug themselves a hole again and started passing to keep up? LT is back folks and now has two weeks off to get even healthier. He looked like his old self, with burst and crisp cuts. As a LT owner, you should be excited for the rest of the season.

Leon Washington – 101 total yards, 1 TD, 3 catches, 1 rec TD -I had a Jets RB ranked highly. Just not this one. And it only makes the Jets bizarre play calling more painful. Because I thought Washington might be a good play (ranked him 21st) but how can you run just 24 times against the worst run defense in the league? And throw 40 times! it’s almost as if Mangini And Schottenheimer were like ‘hey they’ll NEVER expect this!’. It was Monty Pythonesque – ‘NOBODY expects the Spanish Inquisition – I mean 40 passes!’. Poor playcalling aside, this is what Washington brings to the table folks – shifty moves, a dangerous runner in the open field and a good pass catcher. You can’t rely on this every week – especially with such counter-intuitive playcalling. But he’s a decent flex when the matcup is right. Don’t know why Thomas Jones couldn’t get more done (14 carries, 60 total yards, 1 TD) but maybe he just never had a chance to get a rhythm going…..

Frank Gore – 159 total yards, 7 catches - Preseason, many people (experts included) were blowing Gore off as a guy who would disappear with Martz and a woeful Oline. I was not one of those – in fact I said he would get it done regardless. Martz is no dummy (well, ok, maybe) and Nolan – and now Singletary – know who the engine of this offense is. Gore is a factor both on the ground and in the pass game. He is a first rate stud and can get it done almost regardless of the weapons around him. He’ll have some rough patches but wire to wire, he’s worth the draft pick.

Kevin Faulk – 107 total yards, 4 catches, 1 rec TD – Where did BenJarvus go? He was running the ball and then just stopped. He wasn’t cutting all that well and I think eventually they just went with the proven guy, Kevin Faulk. The Pats didn’t run a ton and they threw some passes Faulk’s way – again, he’s the Vet and even if BJGE can catch, Faulk will get the work as he is proven and they already have one unproven starter in a key slot. Will this continue? Not sure, but Faulk, as long as everyone else is hurt, is a good flex play depending upon matchup. Even better in a PPR league.

Honorable Mention – Leonard Weaver - Honorable Mention for his 129 yds on 4 catches and 2 TDs. More WR than RB though – don’t get suckered into it. His TDs were long receptions and against a better playing D, never would have gone the distance. The Seattle run game was atrocious and I don’t know that they will keep throwing to Weaver. Shaky waiver wire prospect.

Also –
DeAngelo Williams (123 total yards, 2 catches 1 TD) continues to hold off J Stewart. I feel like I have read this book before….. Chris Johnson (96 total yards, 1 TD) and LenDale White (14 total yards, 2 TDs) didn’t blow up Indy, but they were good plays. Yes, you read that right – 14 total yards for White. And that’s why I said during the Stampede you might want to sell him high…. By the way – Chris Johnson is amazing to watch – he looks good out there…… Jamal Lewis (88 total yards, 1 TD) continues to get it done regardless of help from the supporting cast. He’s the most reliable guy in the whole offense – fantasywise or not….. Dis Mah Son aka Marshawn Lych (95 total yards, 5 catches, 1 TD) finally got some use in the passing game. I don’t know about you, but I was wondering if the Bills had too much Fred Jackson in their eyes and forgot Lynch can catch the ball….

Top WR Performances for Week 8

Roddy White – 8 catches, 113 yards, 2 TDs – I think you can say Matt Ryan has arrived and with him, Roddy White. White is proving that he has the ability to get separation and can make the big catches when he needs to. An excellent play week to week.

Santana Moss – 9 catches, 140 yards, 1 TDs – An outstanding day, as I expected. Moss is looking like he did a few years ago, when he was dynamic and consistent. Campbell clearly favors him and he continues to put on a show near every week.

Donnie Avery – 6 catches, 162 yards, 1 TDs – Donnie WHO? Avery far exceeded expectations and given the last two weeks, might he be supplanting Tory Holt? Avery has definitely caught my attention and is looking more and more like the third big WR surprise amongst a rookie class we all thought was meh at best.

Steve Smith – 5 catches, 111 yards, 2 TDs - I expected Smith to mount up and regulate this week, and he did. Delhomme knows who to go to when he needs things done and it was only a matter of time before 1) the run game faltered and they had to throw and 2) Smith remembered where the end zone was.

Anquan Boldin – 9 catches, 93 yards, 2 TDs - Not a bad return, huh? Both Fitz and Breaston had more yards but when it counted, there was Boldin. To quote the graphic novel Dark Knight Returns, the man’s balls nasty Don. Boldin will continue to be a good start even on one leg. Boldin did not shy from contact nor did he suddenly get alligator arms, worrying about who might hit him. Great game for a man just back from injury.

Other notables – Dr. Rockso er, Matt Jones played like a man about to go to jail (8 catches, 117 yards and a TD) and as long as the NFL Feds can’t catch him, will continue his crime spree against Cinci in week 9… Andre Johnson (11 catches, 143 yards) is still looking for the end zone on a consistent basis, but is good to start regardless of matchup and in fact will probably see the endzone with Minny shutting Slaton and whatever injured castoff he gets paired with this week….. It pains me to admit it but Tedd Ginn Jr (7 catches, 175 yards) is beginning to look consistent and solid at the Wr position. I think I threw up in my mouth a bit…… OK, that might have been harsher than I needed it to be…… Usually Kevin Walter (5 catches, 70 yards, 2 TDs) is a better play in return-yardage leagues but he put up some fine points for his owners this weekend against a struggling Bengals team…. Jerricho Cotchery (9 catches, 102 yards) was a safety blanket for Favre today and it shows you how much the two jell. Too bad they should have been running the ball all game. I suspect Schottenheimer and Mangini got a little too cute. Critical game for the Jets vs the Bills this week – I think Cotchery will be very involved if his shoulder holds up……

RBs a little later.

Top Fantasy QBs of Week 8

Drew Brees – 339 yards, 3 TDs - No weather problems. No Chargers secondary. No Shawne Merriman. Drew Brees is just amazing. Never hesitate to line him up. Ever. EVER. Colston isn’t even 100%. Bush is out. Shockey banged up. Brees could have the forwards from Arsenal out there and he’d still be throwing TDs.

Phillip Rivers – 341 yards, 3 TDs, 1 INT - I didn’t figure that Rivers would rank this high – especially when you consider Tomlinson had a darn fine game as well. But remember two things against the Saints – first, the secondary ain’t very good. Secondly, people fall behind New Orleans – far behind. Which means the opposing QB throws. If he has talent (like Rivers) he should do well. Amazing that both the former Chargers QB and his replacement both top this list this week.

Kurt Warner – 381 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT - A disappointing loss for Warner and the Cards, but still an amazing amount of yards and no sign of Matt ‘Keg Stand’ Leinart. As I always say, there is plenty of love to go round in that offense. Was surprised Breaston still got so many targets – but with those three, Warner has many, many weapons to throw to. While he will turn the ball over, near 400 yards and a pair of TDs is pretty darn good.

David Garrard – 283 yards, 2 TDs, 59 rushing yards – Sigmund Bloom made a good point in that despite the way the Jags usually function (no primary WR, spread the wealth) Matt Jones has given Garrard a consistent target. Moore will ride pine soon but we don’t know quite when, but until then, Garrard is going nuts. Not a consistent top start, but certainly a consistent QB2 with upside. Against Cinci he may be back on the bench as the Jags might go crazy on the ground.

Matt Schaub – 280 yards, 3 TDs - Schaub is finally playing where I thought he would before the season. Could be tough going against Minny this coming week, although you can certainly paste them via the pass. Schaub will need to throw and Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels will be good targets for him. Schaub is hot – ride him while you can.

Close but no cigar – Tyler Thigpen (280 yds and 2 TDs) – really Jets? Really?…… Manning: The Peyton (223 yards, 2 TDs, 1 rush TD, 2 INTs) is looking less consistent than Manning: The Eli…… Chad Pennington (314yds, 1TD) has to be looking at the Jets and thinking ‘wait, do they think I’m still there with that playcalling?’ – the Dolphins fit him like a glove…. Jason Campbell (328 yds, 1TD, 1INT) continues to look pretty good in Zorn’s offense and has become a very good member of your QBBC….. Marc Bulger (301 yards, 1 TD, 1INT) is back BABY – Donnie Avery has stepped up and given the Bulger a reason to hang in the pocket despite no real protection…..

I refus to acknowledge Joe Flacco’s production – anytime you outscore yourself at QB as a WR, it’s not worthy of really noting…..

Late News Note – Witten with cracked rib

Hey folks – of course saw this RIGHT after the show.

From Rotoworld:

The Dallas Morning News reports that Jason Witten has been diagnosed with a broken rib, but wants to play through the injury Sunday against the Giants.

Witten doesn’t miss games, so he’ll play but let’s see how he practices before we get too excited. He’s one of the – if not THE – top TEs in Fantasy so this is one to watch close.

PAc 10 Review Week 9 & Site Note

Hey folks

Catch my Pac 10 Review on College Football Insider today.

Also I have moved the day I post the top Fantasy Players from Monday to Tuesday – I have more time on Tuesdays to do it right and I would rather include Monday’s performers as well.